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<span class="type">Definition</span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><span class="codenumber">2.1.6</span><span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span>
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<div class="para">Suppose an event occurs with probability <span class="process-math">\(p\text{.}\)</span> If we perform <span class="process-math">\(n\)</span> independent trials, let <span class="process-math">\(S\)</span> be the random variable which counts the number of trials in which the event occurred. Then <span class="process-math">\(S\)</span> has the <dfn class="terminology">binomial distribution</dfn> with parameters <span class="process-math">\(n\)</span> and <span class="process-math">\(p\text{.}\)</span> We’ll write <span class="process-math">\(S \sim \Bin(n, p)\)</span> to denote this. For each value <span class="process-math">\(0 \leq k \leq n\text{,}\)</span> we’ll write <span class="process-math">\(b(k)\)</span> for <span class="process-math">\(\Pr(S = k)\text{.}\)</span> (If we want to keep track of the parameter values, we may write <span class="process-math">\(b(k; n, p)\text{.}\)</span>)<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#def-binomial-distribution-1-1" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
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</div>
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<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Definition 2.1.6"><a href="#def-binomial-distribution" title="Copy heading and permalink for Definition 2.1.6" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Definition 2.1.6">🔗</a></div></article><span class="incontext"><a class="internal" href="sec-Discrete-RVs.html#def-binomial-distribution">in-context</a></span>
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<span class="type">Definition</span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><span class="codenumber">3.1.1</span><span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span>
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<div class="para logical">
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<div class="para">Let <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> be a discrete random variable taking the values <span class="process-math">\(x_1, x_2, \dotsc, x_n\text{.}\)</span> The <dfn class="terminology">expected value</dfn> (also called <dfn class="terminology">mean</dfn>, or <dfn class="terminology">expectation</dfn>) of <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> is the weighted average of the values of <span class="process-math">\(X\text{,}\)</span> where the weights are the probabilities of <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> taking each value:</div>
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<div class="displaymath process-math">
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\begin{gather*}
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\E(X) = \sum_{i=1}^n x_i \Pr(X = x_i).
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\end{gather*}
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</div>
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<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#def-discrete-EV-1-1" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
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</div>
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<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Definition 3.1.1"><a href="#def-discrete-EV" title="Copy heading and permalink for Definition 3.1.1" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Definition 3.1.1">🔗</a></div></article><span class="incontext"><a class="internal" href="sec-Expected-Value.html#def-discrete-EV">in-context</a></span>
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<article class="definition definition-like"><h3 class="heading">
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<span class="type">Definition</span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><span class="codenumber">3.2.1</span><span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span>
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</h3>
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<div class="para logical">
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<div class="para">Let <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> be a random variable. The <dfn class="terminology">variance</dfn> of <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> is:</div>
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<div class="displaymath process-math">
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\begin{gather*}
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\Var(X) = \E\left[ \left(X - \E(X)\right)^2 \right].
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\end{gather*}
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</div>
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<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#def-variance-1-1" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
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<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Definition 3.2.1"><a href="#def-variance" title="Copy heading and permalink for Definition 3.2.1" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Definition 3.2.1">🔗</a></div></article><span class="incontext"><a class="internal" href="sec-Variance.html#def-variance">in-context</a></span>
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<span class="type">Example</span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><span class="codenumber">3.1.2</span><span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span>
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<div class="para logical">
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<div class="para">If <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> takes on the values <span class="process-math">\(x_1, x_2, \dotsc, x_n\)</span> uniformly (i.e., each value having probability <span class="process-math">\(\frac{1}{n}\)</span>), then the expected value is the usual average:</div>
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<div class="displaymath process-math">
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\begin{align*}
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\E(X) \amp = x_1 \cdot \frac{1}{n} + x_2\cdot \frac{1}{n} + \dotsb + x_n \cdot \frac{1}{n} \\
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\amp = \frac{x_1 + x_2 + \dotsb + x_n}{n}
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\end{align*}
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</div>
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<div class="para">For example, the expected value of a fair 6-sided die roll <span class="process-math">\(R\)</span> is:</div>
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<div class="displaymath process-math">
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\begin{align*}
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\E(R) \amp = 1 \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) + 2 \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) + 3 \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) + 4 \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) + 5 \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) + 6 \left(\frac{1}{6}\right) \\
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\amp = \frac{1 + 2 + \dotsb + 6}{6} = \frac{21}{6} = \frac{7}{2}.
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\end{align*}
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</div>
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<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#example-EV-die-1-1" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
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</div>
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<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Example 3.1.2"><a href="#example-EV-die" title="Copy heading and permalink for Example 3.1.2" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Example 3.1.2">🔗</a></div></article><span class="incontext"><a class="internal" href="sec-Expected-Value.html#example-EV-die">in-context</a></span>
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<span class="type">Example</span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><span class="codenumber">3.1.3</span><span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span>
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<div class="para">Suppose we roll a fair 6-sided die two times, and let <span class="process-math">\(S\)</span> be the sum of the rolls. It’s straightforward to check the distribution for <span class="process-math">\(S\)</span> shown below. We’ve also included a column containing the products <span class="process-math">\(k \Pr(S = k)\text{,}\)</span> which must be summed up to find <span class="process-math">\(\E(S)\text{.}\)</span><div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#example-EV-sum-2-dice-1-1" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
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</div> <figure class="table table-like"><figcaption><span class="type">Table</span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><span class="codenumber">3.1.4<span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span></span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><div class="autopermalink" data-description="Table 3.1.4: "><a href="#example-EV-sum-2-dice-1-2" title="Copy heading and permalink for Table 3.1.4: " aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Table 3.1.4: ">🔗</a></div></figcaption><div class="tabular-box natural-width"><table class="tabular">
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<tr class="header-horizontal">
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<th scope="col" class="c m b1 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(k\)</span></th>
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<th scope="col" class="c m b1 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(\Pr(S = k)\)</span></th>
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<th scope="col" class="c m b1 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(k \cdot \Pr(S = k)\)</span></th>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines">2</td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(1/36\)</span></td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(2/36\)</span></td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines">3</td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(2/36\)</span></td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(6/36\)</span></td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines">4</td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(3/36\)</span></td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(12/36\)</span></td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines">5</td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(4/36\)</span></td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(20/36\)</span></td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines">6</td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(5/36\)</span></td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(30/36\)</span></td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines">7</td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(6/36\)</span></td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(42/36\)</span></td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines">8</td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(5/36\)</span></td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(40/36\)</span></td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines">9</td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(4/36\)</span></td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(36/36\)</span></td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines">10</td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(3/36\)</span></td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(30/36\)</span></td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines">11</td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(2/36\)</span></td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(22/36\)</span></td>
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</tr>
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<tr>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines">12</td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(1/36\)</span></td>
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<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(12/36\)</span></td>
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</tr>
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</table></div></figure> <div class="para">The sum of the third column gives <span class="process-math">\(\E(S) = \frac{252}{36} = 7\text{.}\)</span><div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#example-EV-sum-2-dice-1-3" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
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</div>
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<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Example 3.1.3"><a href="#example-EV-sum-2-dice" title="Copy heading and permalink for Example 3.1.3" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Example 3.1.3">🔗</a></div></article><span class="incontext"><a class="internal" href="sec-Expected-Value.html#example-EV-sum-2-dice">in-context</a></span>
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<span class="type">Example</span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><span class="codenumber">3.1.11</span><span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span>
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<div class="para logical">
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<div class="para">Suppose <span class="process-math">\(S \sim \Bin(n, p)\text{.}\)</span> <a href="sec-Discrete-RVs.html#def-binomial-distribution" class="xref" data-knowl="./knowl/xref/def-binomial-distribution.html" data-reveal-label="Reveal" data-close-label="Close" title="Definition 2.1.6">Definition 2.1.6</a> describes a binomially distributed random variable as counting the number of occurrences of some event, which either happens or not in each of <span class="process-math">\(n\)</span> independent trials. This leads us to a very natural idea: identify each individual possible occurrence of the event, and assign it an indicator random variable. In this case, let <span class="process-math">\(H_i\)</span> indicate that flip <span class="process-math">\(i\)</span> comes up heads. Then</div>
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<div class="displaymath process-math" data-contains-math-knowls="./knowl/xref/def-binomial-distribution.html ./knowl/xref/example-indicator-EV.html">
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\begin{gather*}
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S = H_1 + H_2 + \dotsb + H_n.
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\end{gather*}
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</div>
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<div class="para">We already know (<a href="sec-Expected-Value.html#example-indicator-EV" class="xref" data-knowl="./knowl/xref/example-indicator-EV.html" data-reveal-label="Reveal" data-close-label="Close" title="Example 3.1.5">Example 3.1.5</a>) that the expected value of each <span class="process-math">\(H_i\)</span> is the probability of the indicated event—that flip <span class="process-math">\(i\)</span> is heads. This is precisely the parameter <span class="process-math">\(p\text{.}\)</span> Therefore:</div>
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<div class="displaymath process-math" data-contains-math-knowls="./knowl/xref/def-binomial-distribution.html ./knowl/xref/example-indicator-EV.html">
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\begin{align*}
|
||||
\E(S) \amp = \E(H_1 + H_2 + \dotsb + H_n) \\
|
||||
\amp = \E(H_1) + \E(H_2) + \dotsb + \E(H_n) \\
|
||||
\amp = \underbrace{p + p + \dotsb + p}_{n \text{ times}} \\
|
||||
\amp = np.
|
||||
\end{align*}
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="para">Remember this formula! We’ll make frequent use of it.</div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#example-binomial-EV-1-1" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Example 3.1.11"><a href="#example-binomial-EV" title="Copy heading and permalink for Example 3.1.11" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Example 3.1.11">🔗</a></div></article><span class="incontext"><a class="internal" href="sec-Expected-Value.html#example-binomial-EV">in-context</a></span>
|
||||
</body>
|
||||
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|
||||
Executable
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||||
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||||
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||||
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|
||||
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|
||||
<meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow">
|
||||
</head>
|
||||
<body class="ignore-math">
|
||||
<article class="example example-like"><h4 class="heading">
|
||||
<span class="type">Example</span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><span class="codenumber">3.1.5</span><span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span>
|
||||
</h4>
|
||||
<div class="para logical">
|
||||
<div class="para">Let <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> indicate an event <span class="process-math">\(A\)</span> which has probability <span class="process-math">\(p\text{.}\)</span> Then:</div>
|
||||
<div class="displaymath process-math">
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
\E(X) = 0 \cdot (1-p) + 1 \cdot p = p.
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="para">That is, the expected value of an indicator random variable is the probability of the event that it indicates.</div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#example-indicator-EV-1-1" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Example 3.1.5"><a href="#example-indicator-EV" title="Copy heading and permalink for Example 3.1.5" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Example 3.1.5">🔗</a></div></article><span class="incontext"><a class="internal" href="sec-Expected-Value.html#example-indicator-EV">in-context</a></span>
|
||||
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|
||||
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|
||||
Executable
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||||
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<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
|
||||
<meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow">
|
||||
</head>
|
||||
<body class="ignore-math">
|
||||
<article class="example example-like"><h3 class="heading">
|
||||
<span class="type">Example</span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><span class="codenumber">3.2.6</span><span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span>
|
||||
</h3>
|
||||
<div class="para logical">
|
||||
<div class="para">Let <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> indicate an event <span class="process-math">\(A\)</span> which has probability <span class="process-math">\(p\text{.}\)</span> In <a href="sec-Expected-Value.html#example-indicator-EV" class="xref" data-knowl="./knowl/xref/example-indicator-EV.html" data-reveal-label="Reveal" data-close-label="Close" title="Example 3.1.5">Example 3.1.5</a>, we saw <span class="process-math">\(\E(X) = p\text{.}\)</span> Notice that <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> takes the values 0 and 1 (with probabilities <span class="process-math">\(1 - p\)</span> and <span class="process-math">\(p\text{,}\)</span> respectively). But <span class="process-math">\(0^2 = 0\text{,}\)</span> and <span class="process-math">\(1^1 = 1\text{,}\)</span> so the expected value calculation for <span class="process-math">\(X^2\)</span> is precisely the same as for <span class="process-math">\(X\text{!}\)</span>
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="displaymath process-math" data-contains-math-knowls="./knowl/xref/example-indicator-EV.html">
|
||||
\begin{align*}
|
||||
\E\left(X^2\right) \amp = 0^2 \cdot (1-p) + 1^2 \cdot p = p.
|
||||
\end{align*}
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="para">So:</div>
|
||||
<div class="displaymath process-math" data-contains-math-knowls="./knowl/xref/example-indicator-EV.html">
|
||||
\begin{align*}
|
||||
\Var(X) \amp \E\left(X^2\right) - \left(\E(X)\right)^2 = p - p^2 = p(1 - p).
|
||||
\end{align*}
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#example-indicator-variance-1-1" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Example 3.2.6"><a href="#example-indicator-variance" title="Copy heading and permalink for Example 3.2.6" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Example 3.2.6">🔗</a></div></article><span class="incontext"><a class="internal" href="sec-Variance.html#example-indicator-variance">in-context</a></span>
|
||||
</body>
|
||||
</html>
|
||||
Executable
+60
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|
||||
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|
||||
<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
|
||||
<meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow">
|
||||
</head>
|
||||
<body class="ignore-math">
|
||||
<article class="example example-like"><h3 class="heading">
|
||||
<span class="type">Example</span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><span class="codenumber">2.3.2</span><span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span>
|
||||
</h3>
|
||||
<div class="para">A poll asks two yes/no questions. Let <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> indicate a yes on Question 1 and <span class="process-math">\(Y\)</span> indicate a yes on Question 2. When the data is collected, the following joint distribution for <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> and <span class="process-math">\(Y\)</span> is created:<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#example-joint-indicators-1-1" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
|
||||
</div> <figure class="table table-like"><figcaption><span class="type">Table</span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><span class="codenumber">2.3.3<span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span></span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span>Joint Distribution for Indicator Random Variables<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Table 2.3.3: Joint Distribution for Indicator Random Variables"><a href="#example-joint-indicators-1-2" title="Copy heading and permalink for Table 2.3.3: Joint Distribution for Indicator Random Variables" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Table 2.3.3: Joint Distribution for Indicator Random Variables">🔗</a></div></figcaption><div class="tabular-box natural-width"><table class="tabular">
|
||||
<tr>
|
||||
<td class="c m b1 r1 l0 t0 lines"></td>
|
||||
<td class="c m b1 r1 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(X = 0\)</span></td>
|
||||
<td class="c m b1 r0 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(X = 1\)</span></td>
|
||||
</tr>
|
||||
<tr>
|
||||
<td class="c m b1 r1 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(Y = 0\)</span></td>
|
||||
<td class="c m b1 r1 l0 t0 lines">0.1</td>
|
||||
<td class="c m b1 r0 l0 t0 lines">0.2</td>
|
||||
</tr>
|
||||
<tr>
|
||||
<td class="c m b0 r1 l0 t0 lines"><span class="process-math">\(Y = 1\)</span></td>
|
||||
<td class="c m b0 r1 l0 t0 lines">0.3</td>
|
||||
<td class="c m b0 r0 l0 t0 lines">0.4</td>
|
||||
</tr>
|
||||
</table></div></figure> <div class="para logical">
|
||||
<div class="para">Note that the sum of all values in the table is 1; this is a probability distribution, and total probability must be 1. This table doesn’t show the distributions for <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> or <span class="process-math">\(Y\)</span> individually. The data for the two distributions is mixed together. We can, if we wish, take this information and determine separate distributions for <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> and <span class="process-math">\(Y\text{.}\)</span> For the distribution for <span class="process-math">\(X\text{,}\)</span> we need to know <span class="process-math">\(\Pr(X = 0)\)</span> and <span class="process-math">\(\Pr(X = 1)\)</span> (with no reference to <span class="process-math">\(Y\)</span>). We can get these probabilities by summing along the columns of the table:</div>
|
||||
<div class="displaymath process-math">
|
||||
\begin{align*}
|
||||
\Pr(X = 0) \amp = 0.1 + 0.3 = 0.4 \\
|
||||
\Pr(X = 1) \amp = 0.2 + 0.4 = 0.6
|
||||
\end{align*}
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="para">To get the distribution for <span class="process-math">\(Y\text{,}\)</span> we should add along the rows:</div>
|
||||
<div class="displaymath process-math">
|
||||
\begin{align*}
|
||||
\Pr(Y = 0) \amp = 0.1 + 0.2 = 0.3 \\
|
||||
\Pr(Y = 1) \amp = 0.3 + 0.4 = 0.7
|
||||
\end{align*}
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#example-joint-indicators-1-3" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Example 2.3.2"><a href="#example-joint-indicators" title="Copy heading and permalink for Example 2.3.2" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Example 2.3.2">🔗</a></div></article><span class="incontext"><a class="internal" href="sec-Joint-Distributions.html#example-joint-indicators">in-context</a></span>
|
||||
</body>
|
||||
</html>
|
||||
Regular → Executable
+1
-1
@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@
|
||||
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Regular → Executable
+1
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@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@
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Executable
+47
@@ -0,0 +1,47 @@
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||||
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<head>
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<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
|
||||
<meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow">
|
||||
</head>
|
||||
<body class="ignore-math">
|
||||
<article class="example example-like"><h3 class="heading">
|
||||
<span class="type">Example</span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><span class="codenumber">1.1.2</span><span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span>
|
||||
</h3>
|
||||
<div class="para">An experiment consists of rolling a standard 6-sided die. The sample space is <span class="process-math">\(\Omega = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}\text{.}\)</span> One possible event is <span class="process-math">\(A = \{2, 4, 6\}\text{,}\)</span> i.e., the event that the result of the roll is even.<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#example-sample-space-1-1" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
|
||||
</div> <div class="para">What would the sample space look like if we roll the die two times and recorded the results?<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#example-sample-space-1-2" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="solutions"><details class="answer solution-like born-hidden-knowl"><summary class="knowl__link"><span class="type">Answer</span><span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span></summary><div class="answer solution-like knowl__content">
|
||||
<div class="para logical">
|
||||
<div class="displaymath process-math">
|
||||
\begin{align*}
|
||||
\Omega = \{\amp (1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (1, 4), (1, 5), (1, 6), \\
|
||||
\amp (2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (2, 6), \\
|
||||
\amp (3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 3), (3, 4), (3, 5), (3, 6), \\
|
||||
\amp (4, 1), (4, 2), (4, 3), (4, 4), (4, 5), (4, 6), \\
|
||||
\amp (5, 1), (5, 2), (5, 3), (5, 4), (5, 5), (5, 6), \\
|
||||
\amp (6, 1), (6, 2), (6, 3), (6, 4), (6, 5), (6, 6)\}
|
||||
\end{align*}
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="para">Note that, for example, <span class="process-math">\((1, 2)\)</span> is a different outcome from <span class="process-math">\((2, 1)\text{.}\)</span>
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#example-sample-space-2-1" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Answer 1.1.2.1"><a href="#example-sample-space-2" title="Copy heading and permalink for Answer 1.1.2.1" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Answer 1.1.2.1">🔗</a></div>
|
||||
</div></details></div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Example 1.1.2"><a href="#example-sample-space" title="Copy heading and permalink for Example 1.1.2" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Example 1.1.2">🔗</a></div></article><span class="incontext"><a class="internal" href="sec-Set-Theory.html#example-sample-space">in-context</a></span>
|
||||
</body>
|
||||
</html>
|
||||
Executable
+40
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||||
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<head>
|
||||
<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
|
||||
<meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow">
|
||||
</head>
|
||||
<body class="ignore-math">
|
||||
<article class="example example-like"><h4 class="heading">
|
||||
<span class="type">Example</span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><span class="codenumber">3.1.7</span><span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span>
|
||||
</h4>
|
||||
<div class="para logical">
|
||||
<div class="para">Let <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> be uniform on the interval <span class="process-math">\([a, b]\text{.}\)</span> So <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> has the pdf <span class="process-math">\(f(x) = \frac{1}{b - a}\text{.}\)</span> We might reasonably expect that the average value of <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> would be the midpoint of the interval. Let’s check that:</div>
|
||||
<div class="displaymath process-math">
|
||||
\begin{align*}
|
||||
\E(X) \amp = \int_a^b x f(x)\ dx \\
|
||||
\amp = \int_a^b \frac{x}{b - a} \ dx \\
|
||||
\amp = \frac{1}{b-a} \left(\frac{x^2}{2}\right)\bigg|_a^b \\
|
||||
\amp = \frac{1}{b-a} \left( \frac{b^2}{2} - \frac{a^2}{2} \right) \\
|
||||
\amp = \frac{1}{b - a}\left( \frac{(b - a)(b + a)}{2}\right) \\
|
||||
\amp = \frac{a + b}{2}.
|
||||
\end{align*}
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#example-uniform-EV-1-1" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Example 3.1.7"><a href="#example-uniform-EV" title="Copy heading and permalink for Example 3.1.7" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Example 3.1.7">🔗</a></div></article><span class="incontext"><a class="internal" href="sec-Expected-Value.html#example-uniform-EV">in-context</a></span>
|
||||
</body>
|
||||
</html>
|
||||
Regular → Executable
+1
-1
@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@
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||||
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||||
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||||
Regular → Executable
+1
-1
@@ -3,7 +3,7 @@
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||||
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||||
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||||
Executable
+35
@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
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||||
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<head>
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<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8">
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<meta name="robots" content="noindex, nofollow">
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</head>
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<body class="ignore-math">
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<article class="theorem theorem-like"><h3 class="heading">
|
||||
<span class="type">Theorem</span><span class="space heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__space"> </span><span class="codenumber">3.2.2</span><span class="period heading-divison-mark heading-divison-mark__period">.</span>
|
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</h3>
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<div class="para logical">
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||||
<div class="para">Let <span class="process-math">\(X\)</span> be a random variable. Then:</div>
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<div class="displaymath process-math">
|
||||
\begin{gather*}
|
||||
\Var(X) = \E\left(X^2\right) - \left(\E(X)\right)^2.
|
||||
\end{gather*}
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Paragraph"><a href="#thm-variance-formula-1-1" title="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Paragraph">🔗</a></div>
|
||||
</div>
|
||||
<div class="autopermalink" data-description="Theorem 3.2.2"><a href="#thm-variance-formula" title="Copy heading and permalink for Theorem 3.2.2" aria-label="Copy heading and permalink for Theorem 3.2.2">🔗</a></div></article><span class="incontext"><a class="internal" href="sec-Variance.html#thm-variance-formula">in-context</a></span>
|
||||
</body>
|
||||
</html>
|
||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user