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<section xml:id="sec-Set-Theory" xmlns:xi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XInclude">
<title>Set Theory</title>
<p>
When we perform an experiment, there are many results that we might see.
We want to be able to quantify the likelihood of seeing certain results.
For this, we need to develop some mathematical terminology.
</p>
<definition xml:id="def-sample-space">
<statement>
<p>
The <term>sample space</term>, often denoted <m>\Omega</m>, is the set of all possible results of an experiment.
A single result is called an <term>outcome</term>, while a collection of results is called an <term>event</term>.
</p>
</statement>
</definition>
<example xml:id="example-sample-space">
<statement>
<p>
An experiment consists of rolling a standard 6-sided die.
The sample space is <m>\Omega = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6\}</m>.
One possible event is <m>A = \{2, 4, 6\}</m>, i.e., the event that the result of the roll is even.
</p>
<p>
What would the sample space look like if we roll the die two times and recorded the results?
</p>
</statement>
<answer>
<p>
<md>
<mrow> \Omega = \{\amp (1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (1, 4), (1, 5), (1, 6), </mrow>
<mrow> \amp (2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (2, 6), </mrow>
<mrow> \amp (3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 3), (3, 4), (3, 5), (3, 6), </mrow>
<mrow> \amp (4, 1), (4, 2), (4, 3), (4, 4), (4, 5), (4, 6), </mrow>
<mrow> \amp (5, 1), (5, 2), (5, 3), (5, 4), (5, 5), (5, 6), </mrow>
<mrow> \amp (6, 1), (6, 2), (6, 3), (6, 4), (6, 5), (6, 6)\} </mrow>
</md>
Note that, for example, <m>(1, 2)</m> is a different outcome from <m>(2, 1)</m>.
</p>
</answer>
</example>
<definition xml:id="def-subset">
<statement>
<p>
Let <m>A</m> be a set.
The symbol <m>\in</m> means "is an element of", as in <m>a \in A</m>.
Given another set <m>B</m>, we say <m>A</m> is a <term>subset</term> of <m>B</m>, written <m>A\subset B</m>, to mean that every element of the set <m>A</m> is also an element of the set <m>B</m>.
</p>
</statement>
</definition>
<p>
The subset symbol includes the possibility that <m>A</m> and <m>B</m> are equal sets, i.e., that they contain precisely the same elements.
</p>
<definition xml:id="def-set-operations">
<statement>
<p>
Consider sets <m>A</m> and <m>B</m>, each contained inside <m>\Omega</m>.
We can combine sets in a variety of ways: <dl>
<li>
<title>Union</title>
<p>
The <term>union</term> of <m>A</m> and <m>B</m> is the set <m>A \cup B = \{x \mid x \in A \text{ or } x \in B\}</m>.
</p>
</li>
<li>
<title>Intersection</title>
<p>
The <term>intersection</term> of <m>A</m> and <m>B</m> is the set <m>A \cap B = \{x \mid x \in A \text{ and } x \in B\}</m>.
</p>
</li>
<li>
<title>Difference</title>
<p>
The <term>set difference</term> <m>A-B</m> is the set <m>A - B = \{x \mid x \in A \text{ and } x \notin B\}</m>.
</p>
</li>
<li>
<title>Complement</title>
<p>
The <term>complement</term> of <m>A</m> is the set <m>A^c = \{x \in \Omega \mid x \notin A\}</m>.
</p>
</li>
<li>
<title>Empty Set</title>
<p>
The <term>empty set</term>, usually written <m>\emptyset</m> or <m>\{\}</m>, is the set which contains no elements.
</p>
</li>
</dl>
</p>
</statement>
</definition>
<p>
It's useful sometimes to draw pictures called <term>Venn diagrams</term> representing sets:
</p>
<figure xml:id="fig-Venn-diagram">
<caption>Example Venn Diagram</caption>
<image width="50%">
<description>
<p>
Venn diagram showing sets <m>A, B, C</m> with the region representing <m>(A\cup B\cup C) - (A \cap C)</m> shaded.
</p>
</description>
<latex-image>
\begin{tikzpicture}
\def\firstcircle{(90:1.75cm) circle (2.5cm)}
\def\secondcircle{(210:1.75cm) circle (2.5cm)}
\def\thirdcircle{(330:1.75cm) circle (2.5cm)}
\fill[gray!30] \firstcircle;
\fill[gray!30] \secondcircle;
\fill[gray!30] \thirdcircle;
\begin{scope}
\clip \firstcircle;
\clip \thirdcircle;
\fill[white] \firstcircle;
\end{scope}
\draw \firstcircle node[text=black,above] {$A$};
\draw \secondcircle node [text=black,below left] {$B$};
\draw \thirdcircle node [text=black,below right] {$C$};
\node at (0, -4.5) {$(A\cup B\cup C) - (A \cap C)$};
\end{tikzpicture}
</latex-image>
</image>
</figure>
<definition xml:id="def-disjoint">
<statement>
<p>
Two sets <m>A</m> and <m>B</m> are <term>disjoint</term> if <m>A \cap B = \emptyset</m>.
</p>
</statement>
</definition>
<definition xml:id="def-cardinality">
<statement>
<p>
Given a finite set <m>A</m>, the <term>cardinality</term> of <m>A</m>, written <m>|A|</m>, is the number of elements in <m>A</m>.
</p>
</statement>
</definition>
<exercises xml:id="exercises-Set-Theory">
<exercise>
<introduction>
<p>
Consider the sets <m>A = \{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10\}</m>, <m>B = \{2, 4, 9, 10, 12, 14, 19\}</m>, and <m>C = \{9, 10, 11, 14, 16, 17, 20\}</m>, which are all subsets of <m>\Omega = \{1, 2, 3, \dotsc, 20\}</m>.
</p>
</introduction>
<task>
<statement>
<p>
Find <m>A - (B \cap C)</m>.
</p>
</statement>
<answer>
<p>
<m>\{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8\}</m>
</p>
</answer>
</task>
<task>
<statement>
<p>
Find <m>|A|</m>, <m>|B|</m>, <m>|C|</m>, <m>|A\cup B|</m>, <m>|A \cap B|</m>, <m>|B\cap C|</m>, <m>|A\cap C|</m>, and <m>|A\cup B\cup C|</m>.
Is it true that the size of the union of sets is equal to the sum of the sizes of the individual sets?
</p>
</statement>
<answer>
<p>
<m>|A| = 10</m>, <m>|B| = 7</m>, <m>|C| = 7</m>, <m>|A \cup B| = 13</m>, <m>|A \cap B| = 4</m>, <m>|B\cap C| = 3</m>, <m>|A\cap C| = 2</m>, <m>|A\cup B\cup C| = 17</m>. In particular, note that <m>|A\cup B| = 13 \neq 10 + 7 = |A| + |B|</m>, so it is not true in general that the size of the union of sets is the sum of the sizes of the individual sets.
</p>
</answer>
</task>
<task>
<statement>
<p>
Find <m>A^c</m> and <m>(A\cup B)^c</m>.
</p>
</statement>
<answer>
<p>
<m>A^c = \{11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20\}</m>, <m>(A\cup B)^c = \{11, 13, 15, 16, 17, 18, 20\}</m>.
</p>
</answer>
</task>
</exercise>
<exercise>
<statement>
<p>
Suppose we have a 6-sided die that's weighted to roll a 6 half of the time.
We roll the die two times.
List the set of all possible results.
[Note: the result (2, 4)---rolling a 2 and then a 4---is different from the result <m>(4, 2)</m>---rolling a 4 and then a 2.]
</p>
</statement>
<answer>
<p>
<md>
<mrow> \Omega = \{\amp (1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (1, 4), (1, 5), (1, 6), </mrow>
<mrow> \amp (2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (2, 6), </mrow>
<mrow> \amp (3, 1), (3, 2), (3, 3), (3, 4), (3, 5), (3, 6), </mrow>
<mrow> \amp (4, 1), (4, 2), (4, 3), (4, 4), (4, 5), (4, 6), </mrow>
<mrow> \amp (5, 1), (5, 2), (5, 3), (5, 4), (5, 5), (5, 6), </mrow>
<mrow> \amp (6, 1), (6, 2), (6, 3), (6, 4), (6, 5), (6, 6)\} </mrow>
</md>
Note that <m>\Omega</m> simply lists outcomes with no reference to the probabilities.
So the answer here is the same as in <xref ref="example-sample-space"/>.
</p>
</answer>
</exercise>
<exercise>
<statement>
<p>
Suppose we flip a coin two times.
List the set of all possible results.
What about flipping three times? Four times? If we flip the coin 10 times, how many possible results will there be?
</p>
</statement>
<answer>
<p>
For two flips: <m>\Omega = \{ HH, HT, TH, TT \}</m>.
</p>
<p>
For three flips: <m>\Omega = \{ HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT \}</m>.
</p>
<p>
For four flips:
<md>
<mrow> \Omega = \{ \amp HHHH, HHHT, HHTH, HTHH, </mrow>
<mrow> \amp THHH, HHTT, HTHT, HTTH, </mrow>
<mrow> \amp THHT, THTH, TTHH, HTTT, </mrow>
<mrow> \amp THTT, TTHT, TTTH, TTTT \}. </mrow>
</md>
</p>
<p>
Each additional flip doubles the number of outcomes.
So, with ten flips, we'll have <m>|\Omega| = 2^{10} = 1024</m>.
</p>
</answer>
</exercise>
<exercise>
<statement>
<p>
If we roll a 6-sided die ten times, how many possible results will there be?
</p>
</statement>
<answer>
<p>
Each additional roll will multiply the number of outcomes by 6.
So, with 10 rolls, we'll have <m>|\Omega| = 6^{10}.</m>
</p>
</answer>
</exercise>
</exercises>
</section>